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10/28/18
Thomas Thornton
The Week Ahead - Key Events and Focus

The corporate calendar will continue to focus heavily on third quarter earnings in the coming week, with energy, healthcare and cable/telecom well represented.  The last of the FAANG's will report with Facebook on Tuesday and Apple on Thursday.  And several other important reports from GE, Airbus, Exxon Mobile, Chevron, Shell, and BP.  Considering the weakness after the Amazon and Google reports there will be a lot of pressure on Apple especially to report an inline no surprises, type of quarter.  Higher ASP's and continued services growth will offset flat sales of iPhones.  

On the economic front, the Case-Shiller Index, along with Eurozone Q3 GDP (consensus calls for  unchanged growth of 0.4%)  and confidence numbers are all expected on Tuesday; with the US jobs report due at the end of the week.  Last month's NFP missed with 134k and the consensus is at 190k with an unchanged unemployment report at 3.7%. The BOE will unanimously will stand pat on rates Thursday but expect talk of lowered growth and higher inflation outlook.  China will start applying even tighter controls on money flowing in and out  of the country as outflows increase.  China will also use its vast FX reserves to stop any precipitous fall in the Yuan past 7 per dollar, as that level could risk triggering speculation and heavy capital flight.  

S&P bullish sentiment remains depressed closing Friday at 13%.  Other major markets have low sentiment as well.   Nikkei at 17%, Euro Stoxx at 10%, UK FTSE 100 at 14%, German DAX at 10%, French CAC at 10%.  Sentiment is a condition and not a trigger.  It can and might stay low for a period of time just as it did at the highs in the Summer.  In the US there hasn't been clear downside DeMark Countdowns in progress across the board as we saw on the upside in September and on all the indexes in the US this is the first of five down waves.  We're expecting a lower high bounce followed lower lows.  It's going to be exciting how the sentiment and DeMark charts will make the inflection points easier to read to navigate into the end of the year.  

Earnings, Conferences, Economic Reports

    Monday 29-Oct:
      Corporate:
        Earnings:
        • Pre-open: BLMN, DAN, FDC, OIS, WFT
        • Post-close: AKAM, ALSN, CLR, SYH, INST, KLAC, MDLZ, RIG, TXRH, VRNS
        Brokerage Conferences:
        • Gabelli & Company Automotive Aftermarket
      Economic:
      • US: US personal income and spending, US PCE, Dallas Fed Indec
    Tuesday 30-Oct:
      Corporate:
        Earnings:
        • Pre-open: AET, AGCO, AGN, BHGE, CMI, CTSH, CVLT, ESV, ETN, EXP, FET, GE, HCA, INCY, KO, LL, MA, MAS, PFE, TPR, UAA, VMC
        • Post-close: AMGN, APC, BJRI, CAKE, CHRW, CXO, DDD, EA, EBAY, EXAS, FB, H, MGM, MXIM, NBR, OI, QLYS, ULTI, WLL, YUMC
        Brokerage Conferences:
        • Gabelli & Company Automotive Aftermarket
      • Analyst Meeting: KEY
      • PDUFA: SBLA for KEYTRUDA in combo with chemo as first-line for NSCLC MRK) Keytruda
      Economic:
      • US: Case-Shiller for Aug
      • Europe: Eurozone confidence measures (Oct), GDP (Q3)
    Wednesday 31-Oct:
      Corporate:
        Earnings:
        • Pre-open: ACOR, ADP, ANTM, BAX, BG, SHK, CLX, EL, GM, GRMN, HES, K, S, TEL, TMHC, UTHR, YUM
        • Post-close: ESRX, AIG, APA, FISV, FIT, MOH, NE, NFX, QRVO, TYL, XPO, ZNGA
      Economic:
      • US: Chicago PMI, ADP jobs report, Employment Cost Index
      • Asia: China NBS PMIs (Tues night)
    Thursday 01-Nov:
      Corporate:
        Earnings:
        • Pre-open: AMCX, AME, AVP, CHD, CI, HBI, MDC, MPC, NBL, PCRX, PENN, PH, SFM, TEVA, TPX, W, ZTS
        • Post-close: AAPL, ANET, ATHN, BNFT, CBS, EOG, EQIX, FTNT, KHC, LYV, MDRX, MSI, SBUX, SHAK, SYMC, TDC, WU
      Economic:
      • US: Non-farm productivity, Markit Manufacturing PMI (Oct), construction spending, Auto Sales
      • Asia: China Caixin manufacturing PMI
    Friday 02-Nov:
      Corporate:
        Earnings:
        • Pre-open: ABBV, BABA, CNK, NWL, STX, TEX, XOM
      Economic:
      • US: Trade Balance, Jobs Report (Oct)
      • Europe: Eurozone manufacturing PMI






 


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Occasionally, an earnings report date could change, or could be incorrect. We rely on various sources including Street Account, Factset, and Bloomberg to compile this report.    

 

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