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8/29/18
Thomas Thornton
Top Overnight News

  • S&P futures up 0.1%. Asian markets mixed overnight, though no standouts in either direction. European equities mostly weaker, though pullback limited. Treasuries unchanged to a touch firmer. Dollar outperforming euro, but not doing much vs yen. Gold down 0.35%. WTI crude up 0.6%.
  • Shaping up to be another very quiet session  ahead of Labor Day holiday. Biggest macro story continues to revolve around trade, and particularly whether Canada will sign on to the deal recently reached between US and Mexico. Press reports have largely focused on Congressional resistance to a bilateral deal and some of the perceived red lines for Canada in the negotiations, though reportedly willing to compromise on dairy. There is a Friday deadline or else sanctions will be imposed.
  • Not much going on elsewhere. In a widely expected move, Senate confirmed Richard Clarida as Fed vice chair. Some focus on a story out of La Stampa that Italian government may reach out to ECB for a new bond purchase program. Fits with ongoing focus on Italy as a potential tail risk. BoJ’s Suzuki said monitoring effects of extended stimulus on JGB and other markets. Telegraph discussed warning that global banks could sell sterling and euro on a no-deal Brexit.
  • Latest report from Investor’s Intelligence noted bulls increased to 59.6% in week-ended 28-Aug from 57.7% in prior reading. Marked third consecutive seven-month high and a big jump from the 47.4% seen at end of June, but still below the 66.7% seen in January that was highest since April 1986. Report noted readings of 55% or higher call for increased caution.
  • Daily Sentiment Index S&P bullish sentiment is at 75% slightly down yesterday from the previous day's 80% (extreme zone)
  • Mnuchin now praising China for supporting its currency, saying that is not manipulation
  • MS raises the price target on AMZN to $2500

Market Snapshot
US Economic Reports For The Rest Of The Week
Pre Market Movers



 


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